yes, green moon looks a good chance.
However, in what i think is a hard race to pick this year, i tend to go for value.
I think this year there are 5-6 chances. Include 2 three year olds.
I still think More Joyous will hard to beat if it becomes a sprint home after early cheap sectionals. She ran 4.5 lengths behind so you think at his peak, and zipping 2nd, but this year's field much weaker.
If it is a fast race, she will probably have no chance. I am also having small bet on Shoot out at $26 in case it becomes a tough race.